Analysis: New Polling Finds Trump’s Lead Jumps to 5 Points in a Four-Way Race as Calls for Biden to Step Aside Rise
Arizona Sun Times Staff

by Robert Romano
Former President Donald Trump continues to press his advantage against incumbent President Joe Biden in the latest HarrisX-Messenger poll, 51 percent to 49 percent, a lead that jumps to five points when Robert Kennedy, Jr. and Cornell West are included in the mix, with Trump garnering 41 percent, Biden 36 percent, Kennedy 11 percent and West 2 percent.
In the four-way race, Trump loses 10 points of support and Biden loses 13 points of support, underscoring independents’ desire for third-party alternatives.
Democrats are more likely than Republicans to support a third-party candidate, with 11 percent of Democrats supporting Kennedy over Biden and 2 percent supporting West. Only 6 percent of Republicans support Kennedy and 0 percent of them support West.
Trump does a better job than Biden at retaining his party’s support in the four-way race, garnering 82 percent of Republicans versus Biden getting 74 percent of Democrats. Biden only gets 5 percent of Republicans to Trump’s 8 percent of Democrats.
On independents, Trump leads both the two-way and four-way races, garnering 53 percent of independents to Biden’s 47 percent, and in the four-way race, Trump gets 33 percent, Biden gets 25 percent, Kennedy 18 percent and West 4 percent.