The most recent poll of Arizona voters shows former President Donald Trump is leading in the presidential election, and Democratic candidate Ruben Gallego pulling away from Kari Lake in the U.S. Senate race.
With the poll conducted by Noble Predictive Insights having a margin of error of ±3.5% and swaying Independent voters, Arizona will prove to be full of close races come Nov. 5.
“Arizona’s competitive landscape speaks to the importance of every voter,” said NPI Founder and CEO Mike Noble. “This election will hinge on which candidates can best capture the Independent and undecided voters who can tip the scales in either direction. The stakes are high, and Arizona’s role as a swing state will keep all eyes here through the final vote count.”
According to the poll, Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by only one point (48%-47%), and when unsure voters were pushed to make a choice, that margin stayed the same. The polling report also stressed the significance of party loyalty and opinions of Independent and undecided voters.
In the presidential election, Harris has the approval of 90% of Democrats and Trump has 87% of Republicans. And when pushed to make a decision, 42% of Independent and undecided voters chose Trump and 50% said they support Harris.