Republican candidate Glenn Youngkin leads Democrat Terry McAuliffe one day before the Virginia gubernatorial election on Tuesday, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.
Youngkin’s margin over McAuliffe is just 0.6 percent (47.6 percent to 47.0 percent). But Youngkin is on the uptick. On November 15, it was McAuliffe with a three percent lead over Youngkin (47.3 percent to 44.4 percent). Youngkin’s overtook McAuliffe on November 28 by 0.1 percent in the polling average.
With the race within the margin of error, both candidates will look to their base for enthusiasm to turn out and vote.
Youngkin seems to have an advantage in enthusiasm. “Polls show Youngkin winning virtually every Trump voter who says he or she is planning to participate next week, but his ability to bring the former president’s base along while keeping Trump at arm’s length is even more impressive than that,” Politico wrote Saturday.
