1 big thing: Dems' Hispanic peril

Top Democratic operatives see expanding defections by Hispanic voters to the GOP, worsening Democrats' outlook for November's midterms.
 
  • Why it matters: Democrats had hoped this might be a phenomenon specific to the Trump era. But new polling shows it accelerating, worrying party strategists about the top of the ticket in 2024. 
A Wall Street Journal poll (subscription) last week found that by 9 points, Hispanic voters said they'd back a Republican candidate for Congress over a Democrat. 
 
  • In November, the parties were tied. 
What's happening: Democrats saw evidence of this shift in 2020 in House races in south Florida, Texas and southern New Mexico.
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